Monday, February 23, 2009

Private Banking System

A privately held banking system is the correct way


The White House is standing by the private banking system.

White House press secretary Robert Gibbs was asked Friday about speculation that the Obama administration may seek to nationalize two financial bellwethers, Citigroup Inc. and Bank of America Corp.

Gibbs responded that the administration continues to "strongly believe that a privately held banking system is the correct way to go." Along with that, he said, the government must ensure that banks are sufficiently regulated.

Said Gibbs: "That's been our belief for quite some time, and we continue to have that."

Gibbs was pressed for more details on his answer — specifically whether Obama would not nationalize banks. He said it was hard for him to be any clearer.

When a reporter suggested Gibbs could do that by saying that Obama would never nationalize banks, Gibbs would not make that statement, but emphasized: "I think I was very clear about the system that this country has and will continue to have."

Shares of Bank of America , Citigroup and Wells Fargo & Co fell more than 20 percent after Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd said the nationalization of some banks could be needed "at least for a short time," according to a Bloomberg report. Their decline contributed to dragging the major stock indexes lower.

In response, Bank of America spokesman Robert Stickler said "We see no reason to nationalize a bank that is profitable, has strong capital and strong liquidity and is lending actively."

When asked about nationalization, Citigroup spokesman Jon Diat said in an e-mailed statement that the bank's capital base is "very strong" and its Tier-1 capital ratio is "among the highest in the industry."

The statement from the White House appeared to calm some of the market's jitters. Shares were off their lows of the day, although they were still down on worries about the global economy.

U.S. may raise its stake in embattled Citigroup

Citigroup Inc. is in talks that could see the U.S. government take a bigger stake in the beleaguered bank, according to reports.

The Wall Street Journal said taxpayers could own as much as 40 percent of the ailing lender’s common stock. Citing sources familiar with the talks, the newspaper also said Citigroup executives hope discussions with U.S. officials will result in a government stake closer to 25 percent. The administration of President Barack Obama has not indicated whether it supports the plan, the report said.

A source familiar with the Citigroup situation told Reuters that talks were ongoing between the bank and regulators that could increase the government’s stake. The New York Times described the talks between Citigroup and U.S. regulators as “active.”

Separately, U.S. banking regulators said Monday they stand ready to provide more capital to banks and keep large institutions viable through a new capital assessment program to be launched on Wednesday.

The U.S. Treasury is expected to subject up to 25 banks, each with assets exceeding $100 billion, to “stress tests” to decide which need additional capital.

“The U.S. government stands firmly behind the banking system during this period of financial strain to ensure it will be able to perform its key function of providing credit to households and businesses,” the regulators said in a statement issued by the U.S. Treasury that named no individual banks.

“The government will ensure that banks have the capital and liquidity they need to provide the credit necessary to restore economic growth,” the regulators said. “Moreover, we reiterate our determination to preserve the viability of systemically important financial institutions so that they are able to meet their commitments.”

On Sunday, CNBC reported that officials would not rule out increased or even outright government ownership of large banks at the end of the process, but they say their intent is to avoid that outcome and that it is anything but certain. They old CNBC the government does not want to be running these companies.

If the banks end up in government hands, officials said, the intent would be to get them into private hands quickly and do so in a way that is not much different from how the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. currently resolves bank insolvencies, which typically take place over the weekend. The extent of government ownership, these officials said, will depend on the size of the losses at the banks, the access of banks to private capital and how the recession plays out.

“I think the market is missing that the whole intent of this process is to show that the banks have enough capital for even worse outcomes than we currently envision and to show there’s a program in place to give banks access to that capital if they need it,” one high-level official told CNBC.

New details on the so-called bank stress test could be made available as soon as tomorrow, officials say. This process will gauge bank capital levels under worst-case economic scenarios than are currently seen. Details on those scenarios are likely to be made public on Wednesday.

Citi could be a model

Citigroup is discussing with U.S. officials a scenario under which a substantial portion of the $45 billion in preferred shares held by the U.S. government, amounting to a 7.8 percent stake in Citigroup, would convert into common stock, the Times and the Journal reported.

The plan would not cost further taxpayer money, but other Citigroup shareholders would see their stakes diluted and the government would have much larger influence over Citigroup.

The New York Times reported the plan being contemplated at Citigroup could pave the way for similar moves at other big banks.

Separately, the Financial Times said Citigroup was pressing the U.S. government to agree on a new capital injection that would increase the authorities' stake in the bank to about 40 percent, but stop short of outright nationalization.

“It’s a sign of relief that the move at least removes some of the uncertainty around the banking sector," said Tony Morriss, senior markets strategist at ANZ Investment Bank, in Sydney.

"They are certainly moving much faster this time and it can be taken as a commitment that some banks are too big to fail and the economic consequences too bad to contemplate."

The Citigroup news came as other governments around the world moved to prop up their ailing banks, and after European Union leaders backed a doubling of funds for the International Monetary Fund to help with bailouts for banking and other industries...

On Friday, Citigroup shares closed down 22 percent in New York, while Bank of America stock fell 31 percent, falling for a sixth straight session amid fears the government could nationalize the two banks, wiping out shareholders' investments.

Citigroup in October and November issued a total of $52 billion of preferred shares to the government, $45 billion of which was considered capital and $7 billion was considered a fee for the U.S. agreeing to insure a portfolio of Citigroup assets.

The government in those deals also received warrants to buy 7.8 percent of the bank's shares.

The source who spoke to Reuters also said one possibility could be the conversion of preferred stock to common shares, but stressed there were many other possibilities.

The discussions reflect growing concerns that Citigroup and other big U.S. banks could be swamped by losses amid the housing crisis and swooning economy, the Journal said.

The U.S. Treasury declined to comment on the reports, but said it was open to converting preferred shares into common equity to strengthen banks.

Spokesman Isaac Baker said that, under Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner's bank stabilization plan, institutions can apply to convert preferred shares into convertible preferred shares and later into common equity as needed to strengthen their capital structure.

“We are open to considering a request to do so if the institution and its regulator believe it would promote the long term stability of that institution, and if we believe it's in the best interest of long term stability of our economy and financial system,” Baker said in a statement.

The White House later said President Obama favors a privately held banking system.

Citigroup declined comment on the reports, but said in an emailed statement: “Citi's capital base is very strong and our Tier-1 capital ratio as measured at the end of the fourth quarter was 11.9 percent, among the highest in the industry.

“We continue to focus and make progress on reducing the assets on our balance sheet, reducing expenses and streamlining our business for future profitable growth.”

Citigroup officials hope to persuade private investors that have bought preferred shares — including the Government of Singapore Investment Corp (GIC), Abu Dhabi Investment Authority and Kuwait Investment Authority — to also convert their preferred shares into common stock, the Journal reported.

Singapore's GIC declined to comment.

"Until most of the news is known, there will be a lot of volatility and probably a downward trend in the equity market because we don't know how much pain for investors government measures will induce," said Dariusz Kowalczyk, chief investment strategist with SJS Markets in Hong Kong.

"By which I mean, will current holders of bank equity lose everything, or most?"

The Financial Times said Citigroup insiders expect a decision on the company's future in the coming weeks, but warned it would have to come earlier if its shares fell again this week.

Citigroup could also try to raise fresh equity with a public share offering, the FT said. The aim would be to keep the government stake to no more than 40 percent, or at least below 50 percent, it said, citing people familiar with the plan.

Citigroup stock has dropped 71 percent so far in 2009.


Wall Street: Expectations

This week, Washington will get another chance to prove to Wall Street it means business.

Investors are expecting details on the Treasury Department's plans to fix the financial industry. The questions they want answered: How the government will decide which banks are healthy enough to be saved, how their toxic assets will be priced and how officials will convince private investors to buy them.

President Barack Obama's administration has yet to galvanize confidence on Wall Street. Last November's 11-year trading low of 741.02 for the Standard & Poor's 500 index has not yet been breached — but it could be if the government fails to show the market that its efforts are working and tell them more help is on the way, said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Investors.

"We could be down 50 percent from here over the next couple of quarters depending on how much Washington disappoints us," Orlando said. "We're in this freeze right now. We need something to break this ice jam. Right now, Washington is the only one that has the power to break this jam."

So far, the multi-trillion-dollar efforts by the Federal Reserve, Treasury Department, White House and Congress have provided only short-lived bursts of optimism in the stock market. Investors, having gotten burned by buying on rumors and selling on news, are now refraining from any major moves until they see reliable, sustained data showing that the economy and financial system are getting back on track.

"They're not going to become optimistic until they see these plans we spent so much money on start to work," said Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief investment officer of Johnson Illington Advisors.

It's been a rough couple of weeks for stocks:

  • The Dow Jones industrial average is at its lowest level since October 2002.
  • Five Dow stocks are trading below $10 a share — General Motors Corp., Citigroup Inc., Bank of America Corp., Alcoa Inc. and General Electric Inc.
  • Only about 100 of the 500 stocks in the Standard & Poor's 500 index are up for the year.
  • After suffering its worst January ever, the S&P 500 is on track for its third-worst February.

Stocks are so weak because, simply, the economy is not stabilizing and no one knows when it will.

Last week, more companies revealed worse-than-expected results and forecasts. Government data showed the economy is still sliding. Investors grew more skeptical about the effectiveness of the $787 billion stimulus package signed into law. A foreclosure relief plan was met with doubt. And they fretted over not knowing how the Treasury Department intends to repair the financial system.

Because of these fears, people pulled money out of their stock mutual funds. According to TrimTabs, outflows from funds invested in stocks totaled $8.6 billion in the week ended Wednesday, up from $8.5 billion the previous week. Those were the biggest weekly outflows since the second-to-last week of 2008, when outflows amounted to $11.4 billion.

Instead, investors have been pouring what's left of their money into safe havens — particularly gold. The precious metal surpassed $1,000 an ounce on Friday, approaching the record $1,038.60 it reached in March 2008.

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner will have to give the market this week sufficient insight into his plans, and help them figure out whether the industry's most worrisome players are going to survive. Citigroup and Bank of America plummeted last week on worries that the two banks would need to be nationalized.

"A lot will depend on what's in the plan. Having been disappointed once before, we're not going to make the same mistake again and bid it up on confidence, because we don't have any confidence right now," Orlando said.

Economic data will also come into focus on Wall Street, particularly now that earnings season is winding down. This week's reports include the S&P/Case Shiller home price index; January reports on sales of new and existing homes; a January report on durable goods orders; and another estimate of fourth-quarter gross domestic product.

It's possible that in a few weeks, investors will start seeing the signs of recovery th'reey hoping for — which in turn could help ease the pressure in many corners of the capital markets.

"It's a vicious circle now, but it could become a virtuous cricle with positive feedback," Johnson said.

But market participants are still coming to terms with the fact that any economic recovery will be a long and difficult one.

"We went on a borrowing binge. We're going through a process of deleveraging the U.S. economy," Johnson said. "The best we can hope for is that we'll muddle through."


Stocks reversed course and turned lower early Monday (23-02-2009) as investors sold off technology stocks amid a report that Yahoo plans a major overhaul.

Yahoo Inc. Chief Executive Carol Bartz could announce a major management reorganization as early as next week, according to the blog AllThingsD.

The Wall Street Journal-affiliated blog, citing several sources inside and outside the Internet company, said the revamp would likely come on Wednesday, although it could be pushed out a week or two or rolled out in pieces.

Financial stocks, which led the market in the early going, were mostly higher after the government's latest pledge that it plans more aid for the banking system. The Treasury and other departments said in a joint statement, "the U.S. government stands firmly behind the banking system during this period."

The statement followed, but did not refer to, a Wall Street Journal report that Citigroup is in talks for the U.S. government to boost its stake in the bank. The Journal said the troubled bank is negotiating to increase the U.S. government's ownership to as much as 40 percent. The government, which has already invested $25 billion in the company, would convert its preferred shares to common shares; this would leave existing shareholders with some stake, albeit one that is diluted, the Journal reported.

Losses among tech stocks prevented the market from maintaining its early gains. The Journal reported Sunday that Yahoo Inc.'s new chief executive is planning a company-wide reorganization.

In the first hour of trading, the Dow Jones industrial average fell 13.54, or 0.18 percent, to 7,352.13. The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 3.14, or 0.41 percent, to 766.91. The technology-heavy Nasdaq composite index fell 16.72, or 1.16 percent, to 1,424.51.

Banking stocks led the market sharply lower last week as investors feared that banks might either be nationalized or fail.

Investors seemed to welcome the report on Citigroup because it lessened uncertainty about the company. Shares of the New York bank soared nearly 20 percent, or 39 cents to $2.34. Bank of America Corp. shares rose 13.5 percent, while JPMorgan Chase & Co. jumped 5.8 percent.


"People don't want to see the banks nationalized, but they know something has to be done for Citi," said Dave Rovelli, managing director of trading at brokerage Canaccord Adams in New York. "A lot of people were scared of full-fledged nationalization."

"People are thinking at least maybe we know what they're doing now," he said.



Merger of 2 Banks Caisse d’Épargne and Banque Populaire

Merger of 2 Banks Caisse d’Épargne and Banque Populaire


The French government, eager to shore up two banks that have been shaken by ill-fated investments on American markets, has stepped in to accelerate their merger and will take partial ownership.

Up to 5 billion euros, or $6.4 billion, will be injected into the bank that will result from the merger of the mutual banks Caisse d’Épargne and Banque Populaire, through the purchase of bonds that can be converted into shares, the government said.

A spokeswoman for the president’s office, Veronique Waché, said Monday that a decision on the bank’s management would be reached by the end of the week.

French newspapers, citing unidentified sources, reported Monday that President Nicolas Sarkozy planned to name a top economic adviser, François Pérol, as the bank’s chief executive.

The finance minister, Christine Lagarde, said Monday that the exact amount to be invested would probably be announced Thursday, when Banque Populaire was scheduled to release its financial results for 2008.

Speaking on Europe 1 radio, Ms. Lagarde said a management change would be part of the merger, which has been planned for several months.

“It’s important, when you put in public money, that the state have representatives it can trust and who are competent,” she added. “In terms of confidence and competence, I don’t think anyone would contest the qualities in particular of Mr. Pérol.”

Mr. Pérol worked for Mr. Sarkozy when he was finance minister in 2004. A year later, Mr. Pérol left government service to take a job at the investment bank Rothschild. When Mr. Sarkozy became president in 2007, Mr. Pérol was named his deputy chief of staff.

Caisse d’Épargne and Banque Populaire, which primarily lend to French individuals and businesses, joined their investment banking and asset management operations in 2006. The new division, Natixis, moved quickly to expand its trading operations.

But the financial turmoil hit Natixis hard, as did the discovery in October of unauthorized trading on American derivatives, which led to a loss of 600 million euros.

Ms. Lagarde indicated Monday that Natixis’s situation had not improved from November, when it reported a loss of 234 million euros for the third quarter. “As for all investment banks, it has suffered the consequences of this crisis, and obviously its results are going to show that,” she said. Natixis reports its 2008 results Thursday, as does Caisse d’Épargne.

The merger would create one of France’s largest banks, which the government hopes will make it better able to withstand the recession.

But the nomination of a Sarkozy aide to lead the bank has drawn criticism. Jean Arthuis, a senator who leads the body’s finance commission, told Le Parisien newspaper on Monday that Mr. Pérol’s nomination as chief executive would be unethical. A government commission must approve any request by a civil servant to leave and join a private company.

Mr. Arthuis said the rules of the commission “forbid people in positions of administrative responsibility who have had knowledge of a dossier, either directly or indirectly, to be named to head a company at the heart of the dossier.”

“This is the case of François Pérol,” he added.

The top management has not yet been finalised and a decision is expected by the end of the week.

Banque Populaire and Groupe Caisse d'Epargne announced plans to merge last year to help them weather the economic downturn.

The two banks have been hit hard by losses at Natixis, which has been badly burned by the financial crisis and has been propped up several times by Caisse d'Epargne and Banque Populaire, as well as being forced last summer into a deeply-discounted 3.7-billion-euro capital increase.

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Global oil demand to sink

World oil demand will contract by far more than previously expected in 2009 due to extreme weakness in the global economy, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Wednesday.

Demand is expected to fall by 980,000 barrels per day in 2009 to 84.7 million, the agency said in its monthly market report. The IEA's forecast last month was for demand to contract by 500,000 barrels per day this year.

The forecast adds to evidence that the financial crisis is sharply eroding fuel use. The IEA, which advises 28 industrialized countries, said the latest reduction to demand may not be the last.

"The bottom line is that 2009 looks like a pretty weak year," David Fyfe, head of the IEA's Oil Industry and Markets Division, told Reuters.

"It's far too early to say if this is the end of the downward demand revisions because the financial and economic spillover is still unfolding. We're hostage to any further weakening in the overall economy."

World oil demand is now expected to average 1.4 million bpd less than it did in 2007, before crude's price spike and the slowdown in the global economy started to cut demand.

The IEA said it was revising its oil demand forecast lower after the International Monetary Fund sharply cut its estimate for global GDP growth in 2009 to just 0.5%.

"The continued -- and dramatic -- revisions of the past few months underscore the extreme weakness of the global economy," the IEA said.

"The slowdown in industrial activity and consumption is the unavoidable sequel to the financial meltdown."

Supply impact

Oil prices pared gains after the IEA report was issued. U.S. crude was up 24 cents at $37.79 a barrel as of 6:17 a.m. ET.

The IEA also cautioned that future oil supply growth has come under threat from the collapse in prices, with decline rates in mature oilfields likely to accelerate if oil remains at $40 a barrel.

"Hand in hand with the downward revisions in demand is the impact on supply," said Fyfe at the IEA. "The trend now is that downside demand revisions are being matched on the supply side."

Oil prices peaked at $147.27 a barrel in July 2008 due in part to burgeoning demand from economies such as China and India, but have since collapsed due to the steep drop in demand.

As demand has fallen, oil inventories in the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) have remained at high levels.

Stocks at the end of December stood at 57 days of cover, compared with 56.4 days at the end of November, the IEA said. However, the IEA said that if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is successful in implementing recent output cuts, supplies would be 1.5 million bpd day below its estimate of demand for the producer group's oil in 2009.

"This implies a substantial draw in stocks later in the year unless demand again trends weaker, or non-OPEC supplies prove stronger than expected," the IEA said.

US offers $2 trillion bank plan

US Treasury chief Timothy Geithner on Tuesday unveiled a new bank rescue plan that would put $2 trillion to work mopping up bad assets and restoring credit, but stock markets plunged on fears it would not work.

Global markets had intensely awaited Geithner's ideas for a plan mixing private and public funding to stabilize a financial system tottering under the weight of bad mortgages, but were disappointed over the scant details provided.

The Dow Jones industrial average ended down 4.6 per cent -- its biggest one-day percentage drop since December 1 -- with bank stocks hit particularly hard. US government bonds rose as investors scrambled for safe-haven debt.

In a speech on television and in Capitol Hill testimony, Geithner made his case for how the Obama administration plans to handle the roughly $350 billion left in a $700 billion financial bailout fund approved by Congress in October.

Geithner said the lack of public confidence in prior rescue efforts had made it all the more difficult to stop "a dangerous dynamic" in which a lack of credit undercuts the economy and leads to more weakness among banks, worsening the recession.

"This is very complicated to get it right," he said in an interview on Bloomberg Television. "We are going to try to get it right before we give the details so that we don't add further to uncertainty in these markets."

He steered clear of saying whether the administration might have to ask Congress for more money to fix the banks, restore credit and counter recession, but did not rule it out.

"We're going to consult with the Congress carefully to try to make sure the world understands that the resources necessary to solve this will be available over time," Geithner told CNBC, adding: "The important thing is that ... we send a basic signal, working with the Congress, that we will do what's necessary to fix this."

The lack of details frustrated many market participants.

"Investors want clarity, simplicity and resolution. This plan is seen as convoluted, obfuscating and clouded," said James Ellman, president of Seacliff Capital in San Francisco.

But Thomas Priore, president of ICP Capital in New York, gave Geithner credit for candidly laying out the depth and difficulty presented by the problem of how to restart credit flows when banks are burdened by hard-to-value, weak assets.

"He told it like it is. That's a start," Priore said.

LEVERAGING PRIVATE MONEY

Geithner defended his decision to put forward what he called a framework instead of waiting until a detailed proposal was ready.

"If we wait and we take the approach that we don't lay that out, ever, until we've solved every problem and every detail, then I think that itself will create greater uncertainty," he said, acknowledging he was "very sensitive" to criticism about the approach.

A centerpiece of the renamed "Financial Stability Plan" is a proposal to set up a public-private investment fund, in partnership with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, a bank watchdog, and the Federal Reserve.

Seeded with public money, it would leverage up to $500 billion -- and possibly as much as $1 trillion -- so that toxic assets can be purged from a weakened banking system.

Geithner told an invited audience at the US Treasury that $50 billion in federal rescue funds will be used to try to stem home foreclosures and soften the crushing impact of the deep housing crisis now afflicting the entire economy.

The plan would also expand a Fed program aimed at expanding credit card, student, auto and small business lending.

The facility will grow from its current $200 billion limit to up to $1 trillion, thanks to a jump in Treasury funding to $100 billion from $20 billion.

The lending program would be extended to cover some mortgage-related assets.

The Treasury also said it would continue to pump capital into banks, as the former Bush administration did, but Geithner said there will be conditions attached to ensure the money is lent and that top executives heed restraints on their pay.

In return for the capital, the government would receive preferred shares in the banks that could convert to common stock.

BANK FIX PART OF LARGER PLAN

Geithner said it was critically important to restore credit flows in order for a separate $800-billion-plus package of tax cuts and government spending measures to lift the economy.

Shortly after Geithner announced the plan, the US Senate cleared an $838 billion stimulus package, which needs to be reconciled with a separate bill approved by the US House of Representatives.

The Treasury is tussling with the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression as careless lending fueled a housing boom gone bust, dragging the US economy -- and much of the rest of the world -- into a deep recession.

President Barack Obama said on Monday that cleaning up banks' balance sheets was a priority and did not rule out the possibility that it will take more money than the $700 billion Congress already has approved to complete the job.

"We don't know yet whether we're going to need additional money or how much additional money we'll need until we see how successful we are at restoring a level of confidence in the marketplace," Obama told a news conference.


---------------------------------------------------------

$2 trillion bank plan broad in scope,

short on specifics

Acknowledging that Americans have “lost faith” in the government’s effort to rescue the banking system, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner outlined a sweeping overhaul and expansion of the program Tuesday.

The new program will seek to marshal as much as $2 trillion from the Treasury, private investors and the Federal Reserve.

But Geithner left major questions unanswered about the workings of many components of the new plan, and officials acknowledged that they had yet to decide many of the thorniest issues.

As a result, it remained unclear whether the Obama administration would be able to attract the large volume of private investment that Geithner sketched out in his speech.

With banks and Wall Street firms buckling under the potentially trillions of dollars in unsellable assets, many of them tied to the collapse of the mortgage market, lobbying associations for the banking and financial service companies praised Geithner’s plan as bold and far-sighted.

But investors were far more restrained. The stock market dipped almost as soon as Geithner began speaking, with the Dow Jones industrial average closing down 381.99 points, or 4.6 percent. And analysts and private investors said they simply did not know enough yet to make a judgment on the plan’s prospects.

Geithner’s primary goal seemed to be to instill confidence that the Obama administration has a coherent and comprehensive approach to the banking crisis, and to distance the new program from the Bush administration’s management of the first $350 billion that Congress authorized last year for the Troubled Asset Relief Program.

“The spectacle of huge amounts of taxpayer money being provided to the same institutions that helped cause the crisis, with limited transparency and oversight, added to the public distrust,” the Treasury secretary said in a swipe at the Bush administration.

Geithner laid out a multi-pronged program that will include several major components:

A public-private investment fund, run by the Treasury and the Federal Reserve, with financing from private investors, to buy up hard-to-sell assets that have bogged down banks and financial institutions for the past year. Geithner said the new fund, often described as a “bad bank” for holding toxic assets, would start with $500 billion and have a goal of eventually buying up to $1 trillion in assets.

Direct capital injections into banks, which would come out of the remaining $350 billion in the Treasury’s rescue program.

A vast expansion of a lending program that the Treasury and Federal Reserve had already announced, which is aimed at financing consumer loans. The two agencies had originally announced their intention to finance as much as $200 billion in loans for student loans, car loans and credit card debt. The program will be expanded to as much as $1 trillion.

In a separate announcement elaborating on the lending program, the Federal Reserve said it “could broaden” the plan to include both commercial and residential mortgage-backed securities. But the Fed made it clear that no decisions had been made and said any subsequent expansion would “draw on initial experience in administering the program.”

A $50 billion initiative to enable millions of homeowners facing imminent foreclosure to renegotiate the terms of their mortgages is to be announced next week.

The White House is hoping that its rescue plan will be perceived as a more coherent rescue effort than the Bush administration’s and one whose breadth and scope are so vast that it begins to restore financial confidence in the battered markets and entices private investors to come off the sidelines.

The plan is calibrated to work on multiple fronts, with promises to invest billions of dollars in scores of ailing banks and creation of a new institution to relieve bank balance sheets of their most troubled assets.

It will also renew a legislative proposal giving bankruptcy judges greater authority to modify mortgages on more favorable terms to borrowers and over the objections of banks.

Officials say that new rules encouraging transparency and limiting lobbying are intended to begin to restore political confidence in a program that has faced withering criticism in Congress, an effort that they view as essential because they expect to return to Congress for more money later this year.

But as intended largely by Geithner, the plan stops short of intruding too significantly into bankers’ affairs even as they come onto the public dole.

The $500,000 pay cap for executives at companies receiving assistance, for instance, applies only to very senior executives. Some officials argued for caps that applied to every employee at institutions that receive taxpayer money.

Abandoning any pretense about limiting the moral hazards at companies that made foolhardy investments, the plan also will not require shareholders of companies receiving significant assistance to lose most or all of their investment. Some officials had suggested that the next bailout phase not protect existing shareholders.

The New York Times